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The Committee does not forecast. The recession, in turn, deepened the credit crunch as demand and employment fell, and credit losses of financial institutions surged.
The type and shape of recessions are distinctive. Archived from the original on 17 March First, we do not identify economic activity solely with real GDP, but use a range of indicators, notably employment. Even as a number of economic indicators look good, global conditions and inflation levels point to the imminence of another recession. National Bureau of Economic Research.
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